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Golden Globes 2026: With the Golden Globes set to kick off Hollywood’s awards season tonight, the final predictions are in. Will the critics’ favorite, One Battle After Another, sweep, or will the popular Sinners and Marty Supreme cause upsets? Here’s our final call for every major category.
Golden Globes 2026: Final Predictions
1. Best Motion Picture – Drama
- Will Win: Sinners
- The race tightened between Hamnet and Sinners, but the latter’s populist momentum and surprise acting nominations give it the edge in a nail-biter.
- Dark Horse: Hamnet
2. Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama
- Will Win: Jessie Buckley, Hamnet
- Buckley’s Critics Choice win and the emotional power of her performance in Hamnet make her the undeniable frontrunner.
- Dark Horse: Renate Reinsve, Sentimental Value
3. Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama
- Will Win: Wagner Moura, The Secret Agent
- Moura’s critically adored, history-making turn as the first Brazilian nominee in this category is predicted to narrowly beat Michael B. Jordan’s blockbuster work.
- Dark Horse: Michael B. Jordan, Sinners
4. Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
- Will Win: One Battle After Another
- With nine nominations and a clean sweep of critics’ prizes, Paul Thomas Anderson’s film is the season’s juggernaut and the safest bet of the night.
- Dark Horse: Marty Supreme
5. Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
- Will Win: Rose Byrne, If I Had Legs, I’d Kick You
- Byrne has dominated the early awards and delivers a career-topping performance in a film perfectly suited for the modern Globes voter.
- Dark Horse: Amanda Seyfried, The Testament of Ann Lee
6. Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
- Will Win: Timothée Chalamet, Marty Supreme
- Chalamet’s defining, buzz-heavy performance as Marty Mauser is expected to earn him his first Globe, edging out his veteran co-star.
- Dark Horse: Leonardo DiCaprio, One Battle After Another
7. Best Supporting Actress
- Will Win: Amy Madigan, Weapons
- Madigan’s terrifying and transformative turn as Aunt Gladys, bolstered by her Critics Choice win, is predicted to triumph.
- Dark Horse: Teyana Taylor, One Battle After Another
8. Best Supporting Actor
- Will Win: Jacob Elordi, Frankenstein
- Elordi’s showy, physical transformation and recent Critics Choice victory have given him late-breaking momentum to win.
- Dark Horse: Benicio del Toro, One Battle After Another
9. Best Director
- Will Win: Paul Thomas Anderson, One Battle After Another
- Aligned with his film’s frontrunner status, Anderson is poised to win his first Golden Globe for directing the season’s most nominated film.
- Dark Horse: Ryan Coogler, Sinners
