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Fact Check: Is Another Silver Crash Coming? What 1980 Teaches About Today’s Silver Surge

Silver Crash 1980 vs 2026: Silver’s 1980 crash still echoes today. With gold and silver soaring again, history offers a warning on speculation, leverage and market limits.

By: Amreen Ahmad
Last Updated: January 27, 2026 04:37:20 IST

Silver Crash 1980 vs 2026: Silver has always had a dual personality and it is at the same time a safe haven, a trusted industrial metal and a bait for speculators. Every major price movement brings back memories of the late 1970s, when silver momentarily found itself at the center of the financial universe only to collapse in on itself with gold and silver prices hovering near record highs in 2026, the question that investors are faced with is one that they have asked before: are we witnessing history repeating itself?

The Silver Boom of 1979–80

The silver price surge of 1979-80 did not come out of nowhere and inflation in the United States was already over 13%, and the dollar was falling. Trust in the financial system was shaky at best. Silver began 1979 at $6 an ounce and climbed to nearly $50 in January 1980, an increase of over 700% in less than two years and during the height of the mania, silver rose at a rate faster than gold, stocks and bonds, attracting speculators from outside the typical commodity market.

What Happened Between January to March 1978

  • Early January 1978: Silver traded around $4.90–$5.00 per ounce, largely overlooked by mainstream investors and priced mainly as an industrial metal.
  • January 10–20, 1978: U.S. inflation remained above 6%, weakening confidence in paper assets and quietly increasing interest in hard commodities.
  • Late January 1978: Large investors began expanding long positions in silver futures, tightening available supply without drawing public attention.
  • February 1978: Silver prices moved steadily higher, reaching approximately $5.40 per ounce, supported by rising trading volumes on commodity exchanges.
  • Mid-February 1978: Physical silver withdrawals increased, reducing market liquidity and amplifying price sensitivity to new buying.
  • Early March 1978: Silver crossed the $5.80 level, signaling a shift in market sentiment from industrial demand to inflation protection.
  • Mid-March 1978: Prices briefly exceeded $6.00 per ounce, marking a gain of more than 20% in under three months.
  • Late March 1978: Silver began attracting speculative interest, setting the foundation for the powerful rally that accelerated through 1979 and peaked in early 1980.

Today’s Gold & Silver Surge

Gold has pushed past historic levels, trading above $5,000 per ounce on international markets as of today while Silver continues its remarkable rally, trading near or above $100 per ounce. 

Gold price (24K) in India is around Rs. 16,195 per gram for 24‑carat purity, with 22‑carat and 18‑carat also elevated across markets while Silver price in Coimbatore is Rs. 375 per gram and Rs. 3,75,000 per kilogram, showing strong demand and upward movement compared with recent weeks. 

Unlike 1980, today’s rally is not built on a single concentrated buyer, but prices have still moved faster than underlying supply growth, raising questions about sustainability.

What the Gold-to-Silver Ratio Is Telling Us Now

The gold to silver ratio has long been a stress signal for precious metals. In 1980, the ratio collapsed to near 15 as silver dramatically outpaced gold. In more typical periods, it trades between 60 and 80. In recent months, the ratio has tightened sharply again, reflecting silver’s aggressive rise relative to gold and historically, such compression has often preceded periods of heightened volatility, if not outright corrections.

How the Hunt Brothers Reshaped the Silver Market

Nelson Bunker Hunt and William Herbert Hunt did not merely speculate on silver, they attempted to dominate it. By accumulating massive physical holdings and futures contracts, they came to control an estimated one-third of the world’s deliverable silver supply and their actions exposed how vulnerable thin commodity markets can be when leverage meets concentration. Even today, the Hunt episode remains a case study taught in finance classrooms as a warning about excess.

What the 1980 Crash Taught Regulators and Investors

As the margin calls grew tighter and the placing of new long positions became prohibited, the silver market imploded overnight and by March 27, 1980, prices had fallen more than 50% in a matter of days. The regulators were shocked into a reevaluation of position limits, margin requirements and the regulation of commodity markets but investors took home a harder lesson that liquidity can dry up in an instant when everyone is on the same side of the trade.

Silver Thursday & Limits of Market Power

Silver Thursday marked the moment when financial muscle met structural limits with even vast wealth could not overpower exchange rules, margin calls, and market psychology. The crash proved that markets eventually push back against attempts to bend supply and demand too far where confidence evaporated faster than it formed, turning paper wealth into losses almost instantly.

Could History Repeat: Is the Silver Crash Coming?

The silver market today covers more territory, is subject to more stringent rules, and is more interconnected than it was in 1980. However, the nature of human activity remains the same. Rapid appreciation, crowded trades and waves of speculative fervor ensure that the system remains precarious. A Silver Thursday crash in precise form is unlikely to recur, but its spirit is within reach and market corrections are not called forth by villains and they arise from disequilibrium. The lesson of history is not to be afraid but to be cautious: when silver is too bright, darkness is never far off.

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