Categories: Opinion

Multilateralism under duress

UN’s 80th anniversary tests money, mandate, and power.

Published by Rajesh Mehta & Diksha Mittal

The United Nations enters its 80th General Assembly amid a paradox in New York: a crowded high-level week, a squeezed budget, and a geopolitical gridlock greater than any time in decades. The question is not whether the UN matters; it is whether the institution can convert limited resources and shifting geography into real power before unfolding crises turn the plausible bleak into the probable catastrophic.

WHY THE NEXT WEEKS MATTER

UNGA 80’s week is unusually dense by design: an anniversary commemoration, the SDG Moment, a Climate Summit ahead of COP30, a biennial financing summit, and conceptual meetings on women, youth, NCDs and mental health, nuclear disarmament. The schedule will pull leaders from pageantry into obligations and re-anchor multilateralism around tangible results beyond the podium.

This is also why finance sits at the heart of every room this September. The UN80 initiative, launched in March, seeks efficiencies and mandates streamlining across thousands of decisions because funding has not kept pace with mission creep. Despite the UN scale, total revenues reached $67.6 billion in 2023 where its core budget is a shrinking fraction, with only $13.8 billion from assessed contributions and a massive $46.8 billion from voluntary sources, the majority of which are earmarked and fragment priorities.

The United States remains pivotal, supplying $13 billion last year, including $3.2 billion in assessed dues and $9.7 billion in voluntary funds. This structural dependency means that any fluctuations in American commitment cause ripple effects across missions and programs. In practice, austerity compels trade-offs: staffing freezes, program unifications, and a new managerial mantra in New York, do less with less, or at least do it differently.

In that context, the UN’s growing Nairobi footprint should be read as more than a real estate story. Building on UNEP and UN-Habitat, agencies are exploring relocations and expansions to place talent and costs closer to where operations actually occur. The opportunity is to decentre multilateral governance while demanding safeguards on inclusion, urban pressure, and institutional coherence so that proximity translates into performance, not merely cutting overhead.

Great power substitution is not straightforward: China and Russia have leveraged vetoes to block Council action on files from Syria to Myanmar, while the U.S. has long used its veto on Israel-Palestine. Financially, China’s assessed share has grown, but its voluntary funding remains modest compared to the US, limiting near-term capacity to fill system-wide gaps. The net result is a UN dependent on a few donors’ discretionary choices, with geopolitical tension limiting mandate execution on security, while humanitarian and development arms chase earmarked funds.

For India, UN@80 is both stage and lever: advancing Security Council reform, expanding South-South development finance, and climate tech deployment will define whether a pivotal middle power can bend form to function. A concrete package would couple G4 parameters with veto-restraint pilots, scale India’s peacekeeping training and technology support via South-South windows, and push pooled climate finance that de-risks private investment into grid upgrades and storage where demand is exploding. The Nairobi shift, if shaped well, can amplify India’s operational influence by situating program decisions nearer to the Global South’s needs and talent.

If there is one area where timelines can discipline politics, it is climate, and UNGA 80 positions a Climate Summit to press for updated national plans. None of this sticks without finance, which is why the biennial summit on an inclusive, resilient global economy aims to convert the Pact for the Future’s broad strokes into a pipeline where development banks and private capital take real technology and grid risk at scale.

WHAT SUCCESS WOULD LOOK LIKE AT UNGA 80

Financing must come with clear targets for funds aligned with SDG and climate milestones, better transparency on earmarks, and a credible pathway to stabilize core budgets. The Nairobi relocation should proceed with equity as a cornerstone, marked by published timelines, inclusion safeguards, and service delivery improvements. Security Council reform must move beyond abstract talk toward concrete outcomes: a negotiation-ready expansion formula balancing representativeness and effectiveness, coupled with voluntary veto restraint measures designed to reduce the frequent weaponization of deadlock.

That is why tightening the story arc matters: stabilize predictable financing; move operations where they work best; reopen the Council’s representational bargain; and lock climate promises to money and infrastructure schedules, not metaphors.

If member states seize UN@80 as a reckoning rather than a ceremony, multilateralism can still deliver a minimum viable order in a disorderly decade. If not, the world will discover how quickly bleak can turn to catastrophe without a centre to hold it together.

Rajesh Mehta is a leading consultant and columnist working on market entry, innovation and public policy. Diksha Mittal is an independent strategy consultant with primary interests in macroeconomics and global affairs. Views expressed are personal.

Prakriti Parul
Published by Rajesh Mehta & Diksha Mittal