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Tibet: Strategic chessboard in China’s grand design

By: Khedroob Thondup
Last Updated: August 10, 2025 03:05:35 IST

In the shadow of the Himalayas lies a land whose spiritual resonance and geopolitical weight have long captivated empires. For China, Tibet is no longer just a frontier—it is a fulcrum of strategic ambition, national security, and ideological consolidation. The Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) evolving strategy reveals not only a desire to control territory but to reshape identity, ecology, and geopolitics in service of its long-term vision.

Tibet’s location makes it a critical buffer zone. It borders India, Nepal, Bhutan, and Myanmar—countries central to China’s regional calculus. Control over Tibet allows Beijing to fortify its southwestern frontier, particularly along the Line of Actual Control (LAC) with India. The militarization of infrastructure, including dual-use highways and railways like the ChengduLhasa line, reflects China’s intent to project power and ensure rapid troop mobilization in case of conflict. Tibet is the source of Asia’s major rivers—the Brahmaputra, Mekong, Yangtze, and Yellow Rivers.

China’s megadam projects on the Yarlung Tsangpo, especially near Arunachal Pradesh, have sparked alarm across South Asia. These dams not only threaten ecological stability but also give Beijing leverage over downstream nations like India and Bangladesh. Water, in this context, becomes a strategic weapon— one that can be used to coerce, punish, or reward. Beneath Tibet’s sacred soil lie vast reserves of lithium, copper, and rare earths— critical for China’s tech and energy ambitions.

The CCP’s push to transform Tibet from a “cost centre” to a “profit centre” involves aggressive mining, dambuilding, and the establishment of big data centres. These projects are often cloaked in the language of development but result in environmental degradation and displacement of pastoral communities. China’s strategy aims to urbanize the Tibetan population, resettling them into concrete apartment blocks and frontier villages. This is not mere modernization—it is a calculated effort to dilute Tibetan identity.

Education reforms enforce Mandarin as the medium of instruction, while history is rewritten to portray Tibet as an eternal part of China. By 2049, the CCP envisions a Tibet where cultural distinctiveness is subsumed under a homogenized national identity. Tibet is one of the most surveilled regions in the world. From facial recognition to digital monitoring, the CCP has built an apparatus of total control. Even moderate criticism of Party policy is ruthlessly suppressed.

This securitization is not just about preventing dissent—it’s about ensuring that Tibet remains a compliant cog in China’s national security machine. Tibet is not merely a territory—it is a test case for China’s vision of internal harmony and external dominance. Its rivers feed nations, its mountains guard borders, and its people embody a spiritual resistance that Beijing seeks to extinguish. The CCP’s strategy is comprehensive: assimilate the culture, exploit the land, and weaponize geography.

But Tibet’s strategic value is also its moral weight. The world must recognize that what happens in Tibet is not just a domestic affair—it is a bellwether for the future of sovereignty, identity, and resistance in the face of authoritarian expansion.

The Dalai Lama’s nephew, Khedroob Thondup is a geopolitical analyst

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