In his National Day address marking the 76th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China, President Xi Jinping reiterated a familiar but forceful message: Taiwan cannot be independent. His words—delivered at a reception in Beijing’s Great Hall of the People—were unequivocal: China will “resolutely oppose ‘Taiwan independence’ separatist activities and external interference” and “firmly safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity”.
Xi’s statement is grounded in the Chinese Communist Party’s longstanding claim that Taiwan is an inseparable part of China. Since the end of the Chinese Civil War in 1949, Beijing has maintained that Taiwan’s status is not up for negotiation. Xi’s speech, delivered on a day that celebrates the founding of “New China,” reinforces this narrative: the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation includes reunification with Taiwan.
Taiwan’s geographic position makes it a linchpin in the first island chain—a strategic barrier to China’s naval expansion. An independent Taiwan, especially one aligned with the United States and its allies, would be a significant obstacle to China’s regional ambitions. Xi’s emphasis on opposing “external interference” is a direct rebuke to Washington’s arms sales and diplomatic support for Taipei.
Xi’s speech also serves a domestic purpose. By invoking Taiwan, he galvanizes nationalist sentiment and reinforces the legitimacy of the Communist Party. In a year marked by economic challenges and global scrutiny, reaffirming China’s core interests—especially territorial integrity—helps consolidate internal support.
Interestingly, Xi also called for “deepening exchanges and cooperation across the Taiwan Strait”. This dual message—dialogue coupled with deterrence—reflects Beijing’s strategy: entice Taiwan with economic and cultural ties while maintaining the threat of force should independence be pursued.
Xi’s October 1 speech is not just a reiteration of policy—it’s a signal. To Taiwan, it’s a warning. To the international community, it’s a declaration. And to the Chinese people, it’s a promise: that the dream of national rejuvenation includes Taiwan, whether through peaceful integration or coercive means. The message is clear—Taiwan’s independence is not an option Beijing is willing to entertain.
The nephew of the Dalai Lama, Khedroob Thondup, is a geopolitical analyst.
