Brazil Presidential Election: Incumbent President Lula Leads Narrowly Against Flavio Bolsonaro in New Poll

According  to a BTG Pactual/Nexus ​poll conducted in Brazil recently, president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva currently holds the lead in the presidential race, ahead of the official general election in October.

By: Anushka Singh
Last Updated: August 17, 2026 22:56:01 IST

Brazil Presidential Election: Recently, Brazil’s president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva launched his re-election bid in hopes for a fourth tenure. And according to a new poll conducted today, the incumbent president holds a narrow lead over rival Flavio Bolsonaro. 

Brazil Presidential Election: Incumbent President Lula Leads Narrowly Against Flavio Bolsonaro in New Poll 

According  to a BTG Pactual/Nexus ​poll conducted in Brazil recently, president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva currently holds the lead in the presidential race, ahead of the official general election in October. 

However, that lead is quite slim. Still, if elections were to be held in Brazil right now, Lula would receive close to 47% of the votes, while his right wing rival senator Flavio Bolsonaro would lag with 44% votes. This means that a run off would be required to determine the winner. It is important to note that the poll carries a margin ​of error of two percentage ​points. 

Brazil Election 2026: Full Schedule

Brazil’s presidential election is scheduled for October 4, 2026.

If no presidential candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a runoff will then be held on October 25, 2026.

Brazil Presidential Election 2026: Key Candidates 

The key candidates in the Brazil presidential election are as follows: 

  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, the incumbent President from Workers Party and a left winger. 

  • Flavio Bolsonaro, the son of former president Jair Bolsonaro and currently a senator from Rio de Janeiro. He is known be an ally of  US President Donald Trump 

  • Ronaldo Caiado from the Centralist Socialist Party and the former governor of Goias (a province in West Central Brazil). 

  • Romeu Zema, the former governor of Minas Gerais from NOVO party. 

  • Renan Santos, a political activist and entrepreneur from the Missao party. 

  • Augusto Curry, a psychiatrist and author from the Avante party 

Brazil Presidential Election Results 2026: Main Parties Contesting

The main parties contesting the Brazil Presidential Elections in 2026 include:  

  • The workers party (PT) which stands for social democracy (currently ruling) 

  • Partido Liberal (PL) party, known to be far right. The Bolsonaro family is associated with this party. 

  • Partido Social Democratico (PSD), which is considered to be centrist. 

  • Partido Novo, more commonly known as the New Party. It aligns with the libertarian ideology.

  • MISSÃO party, a right wing party launched as a result of the Free Brazil movement.   

  • Avante party, known for its labourism ideology. It was established by ex members of the Brazil Labour party, an erstwhile political party. 

Brazil Presidential Election Results 2022: A Quick Recap 

During Brazil’s presidential elections of 2022, the results were razor tight. Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva from the Workers Party narrowly won with 50.90% of the votes, while runner up Jair Bolsonaro ended up with 49.10%

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