US-Israel-Iran War Live: Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated on X (formerly Twitter) that the U.S. has repeatedly miscalculated due to “intelligence failures”, pointing to the war on Iran and warning of a bigger miscalculation in the Strait of Hormuz. He stated that “fake intelligence is worse than fake news” amid escalating rhetoric over control of the strategic waterway.
US-Israel-Iran War Live: Abbas Araghchi Says US Miscalculated Due to ‘Poor Intelligence’
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has accused the United States of making dangerous strategic miscalculations based on “fake intelligence” regarding its war on Iran and the strategic Strait of Hormuz. In a sharply worded public statement on X, Araghchi strongly cautioned Washington, warning that relying on flawed intelligence frameworks is “worse than fake news”.
US-Israel-Iran War Live: Core Conflict Dynamics
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Strait of Hormuz Standoff: Araghchi’s remarks directly counter claims made by U.S. President Donald Trump, who declared that Washington has “total control” over the crucial waterway. Araghchi asserted that an even bigger U.S. miscalculation is taking place regarding the Strait, while commercial shipping tracking numbers show a sharp reduction in transit due to safety concerns.
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Intelligence Deficiencies: The Iranian diplomat highlighted the war on Iran as a prime example of historical U.S. intelligence failures. His statement aligns with recent leaks suggesting that the CIA harbored skepticism over foreign intelligence reports used to direct U.S. strategic maneuvers.
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Military Preparedness: Araghchi rejected Western assessments of degraded Iranian capabilities, claiming that Iran’s missile inventory and military readiness are significantly higher than Western intelligence estimates, maintaining that the U.S. is severely detached from ground realities.
US-Israel-Iran War Live: Diplomatic & Operational Fallout
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Blocked Waterways: Despite an interim memorandum of understanding signed earlier, Iran’s central military command has resumed strict management over the Strait of Hormuz, blocking U.S. and Israel-linked vessels while claiming Washington violated navigation provisions by trying to bypass Tehran’s authority.
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Stalled Negotiations: While backchannel messages are being passed through mediators, formal peace negotiations remain completely frozen. Iran insists that it will not return to the negotiating table until the U.S. lifts its naval blockade and addresses violations of prior understandings.
US-Israel-Iran War Live: Fight for the Strait of Hormuz
While U.S. President Donald Trump claimed “total control over the Strait of Hormuz,” commercial shipping traffic in the region plummeted to a critical low, with only eight tracked vessels transiting the unsafe passage within a week.
Donald Trump suggested a 20% secure passage charge for commercial vessels navigating the Strait. Araghchi responded that while Trump is correct that the maritime guardian should be compensated, Iran is the sole eternal guardian of the waterway, calling Trump’s 20% tariff “too much” and promising Iran would “be fair”.
Iran has been negotiating with Oman to establish new shipping lanes and administrative guidelines. However, Iranian officials emphasize that a finalized deal with Oman will not reopen the waterway. Safe navigation will remain blocked until the parallel U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports is completely withdrawn.
US-Israel-Iran War Live: Standoff on Peace Preconditions
Iran’s Supreme National Security Council has outlined strict preconditions before allowing any normalization of maritime trade:
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A permanent end to U.S.-led military operations against Iran and its regional allies.
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The total lifting of international oil and economic sanctions.
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The unfreezing of all foreign-held Iranian economic assets.
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Full financial compensation and reparations for wartime damage caused by months of intense U.S.-Israeli bombardments.
Donald Trump completely dismissed Iran’s terms, particularly the payment of war reparations. In a sharp reversal, Trump added a demand that Iran must pay the U.S. compensation for “50 years” of regional damage before any formal deal is made.
US-Israel-Iran War Live: Internal Political Drama in Tehran
Araghchi’s public statements come amidst severe domestic political pressure. Conservative hardliners in Iran’s parliament are compiling documentation to impeach the Foreign Minister.
Hardliners are furious over an interview Araghchi gave, where he transparently admitted to internal security gaps that allowed U.S. and Israeli intelligence to successfully assassinate senior Iranian military and political officials. Hardliners argue his public admission of vulnerability weakened Iran’s diplomatic leverage.
